Thursday, April 5, 2007

Foxwoods

I' m taking a trip down to Foxwoods tomorrow. I play on playing some Omaha and $5-$10 Stud if there is a wait list for the Omaha game. Is niceee.

Sunday, April 1, 2007

CDM Points Teams

CDM is my favorite fantasy service. I've played with them for eight years now and have won a nice chunk of change along the way.

It is a salary-cap style game with 40 man rosters (28 starts, 12 bench), 25 team leagues, and league, overall, and weekly prizes. Transactions are made weekly and the salaries and positions don't change throughout the season.

I've entered seven teams across three different game formats (different costs and prizes).

Scoring:
1B- 1 point
2B- 2
3B- 3
HR- 4
Run- 1
RBI- 1
BB- 1
SB- 1

IP- 1
K- 1
Win- 10
Save- 10

Week 1 Staters:
C- Mauer
C- Piazza
1B- Fielder
1B- Gonzalez
2B- Weeks
2B- Phillips
3B- Cabrera
3B- Encarnacion
SS- Reyes
SS- Drew
OF- Soriano
OF- Sizemore
OF- Swisher
OF- Rios
OF- Taveras
OF- D.Young
Util- Howard
Util- Hafner

SP- Haren
SP- Olsen
SP- Sheets
SP- Hernandez
SP- Harden
SP- Papelbon
RP- Rodriguez
RP- Ray
RP- Street
RP- Saito

Bench:
C- McCann
1B- Pujols
2B- Utley
3B- Atkins
SS- Ramirez
OF- Holliday
OF- Baldelli
OF- Markakis
SP- Young
SP- Hill
SP- Hamels
SP- Cain

I've done a ton of research this year, so I really hope it pays off. My strategy was to mix a bunch of higher priced hitters with a relatively cheap pitching staff. Papelbon listed as a starter is money in this game. You get 14 buys throughout the year to drop a player from your team for a new one. I figure that I'd need at least two on closers, a couple on my speculative outfield, and the rest will be for the various pitching injuries that always occur.

Yahoo Roto Team

10 teams, 30 players deep, $30 fee

C- McCann
C- B.Molina
1B- Lee
2B- Kinsler
3B- Rolen
SS- Reyes
CI- Overbay
MI- S.Drew
OF- Sizemore
OF- Matsui
OF- Hunter
OF- Markakis
OF- Hawpe
Util- Tracy
Bench- Duncan
Bench- C.Young
Bench- DeJesus
Bench- Scott
P- Oswalt
P- Papelbon
P- Bonderman
P- Ray
P- Haren
P- Wainwright
P- Maddux
P- An.Reyes
P- Garcia
Bench- Broxton
Bench- Shields
Bench- Loewen

I'm pretty happy with my team. I had the third pick after Pujols and Utley were taken and I decided to take Reyes over Santana. I like locking up the shortstop position early and not having to worry about it later. My offense projects to be first in the league and my pitching looks to be about average.

Atlantic City Trip Report

For those unfamiliar with Atlanticy City, picture extravagant hotels and casinos mixed with a third world country. The surrounding areas intertwined with the city are pure ghetto. Walking outside, at night, alone is a guaranteed death sentence. Regardless, it was a great trip.

I played at the Trump Taj Mahal for the two days I was there. I wanted to check out the Borgata, but didn't have enough time. The Taj is notoriously known for having disgusting, dirty chips, but other than that the poker room was pretty good.

Day One:

I started off playing in a $3/$6 2-way Omaha hi-lo/Stud hi-lo game with a full kill to $6/$12 which was pretty juicy. I only played for 2.5 hours and won about $50 on the Omaha side. I got dealt nothing but garbage in the Stud side and gave most of my money back. A huge hand that could have helped my stack out big time was when I held A237 on a K867 board. I had an uncounterfeitable low to go with a pair of 7s. The river brought a 10 and I wound up getting 3/4'd to an A2510. Final result was +$0 in 2.5 hours.

I was highly disappointed with the $80+$20 fee Omaha hi-lo limit tournament I entered. The blinds increased way too fast and only 26 players entered. First place was $1000 and fifth place made their money back. With 15 players remaining I was chip leader after an incredible hand. I was in the small blind with AAxx and about five players in the hand. The flop came KJJ. It was checked around to the button and he bet. I called because he could have made the bet with just a pair of kings. Four players saw the turn which brought the beautiful Ace. I had a lock on the hand so I checked. When it came back to me there was already a bet and the button raised all-in. I didn't need anymore help on the river, but another Ace came giving me quads. I managed to get a call from a fat, obnoxious lady with QT for the straight. The button showed KJ and he was pretty pissed to get knocked out after such a perfect flop. The blinds were quickly $1K/$2K and I exited in 10th place after I committed my stack pre-flop with a suited AAxx and lost to two pair.

Later on that night I took a seat at one of the three (!) $5-$10 Omaha tables they had running. The game played with a full kill, any scooped pot over just $75. It wound up that nearly half the time we were playing $10-$20, which is higher than I would have liked to play, simply because a bad variance downswing would hurt my bankroll. For the most part, the play was more aggressive than at Foxwoods, but that didn't necessarily mean it was any better. I played for about six hours and finished down $60. When I was sat, we had just started a must-move game. Basically whoever was on the top of the list had to move over to the main table whenever someone else left. I only was allowed to stay at the table for no more than an hour.

I hit my first live Royal Flush. My hand had four high cards, so I was looking for a high card flop and hit a straight. I then hit runner-runner for the Royal! In Foxwoods they give you a nice leather jacket, and I was hoping I'd get something cool at the Taj. They wound up giving me two free buffet coupons which was disappointing. Nevertheless, it was cool to hit a live Royal.

When I moved into the main game I was up against a bunch of players who had some clue to what they were doing and couldn't build up any sort of stack. I left the casino around 3am after putting in a nice 14 hour day, down roughly $200.

Day Two:

After eating at the nasty Buffet, I jumped back into the Omaha game. A few guys from the night before were there and I was absolutely card dead for the first two hours. I went through one horrible stretch where I could not be dealt an ace. For an hour I saw nothing but K886-type hands. I sat down with roughly $240 and was all-in at one point. Two of the better players left the table and it was starting to look more profitable. I was picking up some nice hands and started recouping my loses. I wound up leaving the table with $500 for a nice $260 profit in five hours. It could have been much higher, but some of my premium scooping hands didn't develop past the flop.

One unfortunate hand came when I was in the big blind and had KQ108. You only win these types of hands when the flop hits you perfectly. It did. J92. I had a million outs. Any K, Q, 10, 8, or 7 gave me the nut straight. The 8 hit on the turn but brought a low draw and a flush draw. I was thinking that if the Q of diamond hit on the river, I would be money. Four callers saw the river and the perfect card hit. I had the nuts and no lows were possible. I bet, got raised, re-raised, and when I capped it I could only hope that they both didn't hold the KT. Sure enough we split the pot three ways and I couldn't believe the crap they were holding to draw out to the river with. They both didn't have low or flush draws, nor did they have straights on the turn. What should have been a $200 scooper, turned into a zero profit hand.

Over the two days, I played a little bit of $5-$10 stud for no more than an hour while waiting for my main games. I didn't stay long enough to win any pots and bled off $60 there.

Final totals come to 14 hours at the cash games for +$140. The tournament cost me $100 and three hours.

I'm not sure if I'll ever visit Atlantic City again because of how much of a shithole it is. I'll probably head back to Foxwoods next Friday to play some Stud and Omaha.

Tuesday, March 27, 2007

Yahoo Head-to-Head team

12 teams, H2H with generic roto categories
If the league goes well, we plan on putting some money on it next year.

C- Barrett
1B- Lee
2B- Utley
3B- Rolen
SS- Ramirez
OF- Markakis
OF- Duncan
OF- Drew
Util- LaRoche
Bench- Tracy
Bench- Dejesus
Bench- Shealy

SP- Zambrano
SP- Bonderman
RP- Wagner
RP- Lidge
P- Hamels
P- Bush
P- Olsen
Bench- Escobar
Bench- Torres

I'm not entirely thrilled with my team. My outfield is very speculative and I was forced to take Derek Lee with my second pick and would have preferred someone else taking the risk. One guy was on auto-pick and somehow horded all the stolen bases. My Utley, Ramirez speed should be enough to compete on a weekly basis since there aren't any other real stolen base heavy teams in the league.

I've been targeting Utley in most of my drafts. I rank him pretty high because of the lack of talent at second base, but 130 runs, 35 homers, 100 RBI, 15 SB, .310 AVG ain't too shabby.

Between Lidge and Torres I should be able to find some sort of production out of my second RP slot.

I have another Yahoo draft taking place this Saturday. $30 entry, $300 prize pool.

What would I do with $100K?

2007 World Series of Poker Schedule

If I ever had the opportunity, I would love to enter nearly half of these tournaments.

Monday, March 26, 2007

2007 Baseball Season

The season is just around the corner and this will mark my eighth year playing fantasy baseball. Although in the past I've done an over-the-top amount of research, I've at least doubled that this year.

Here's the breakdown of my teams:

2 Free Yahoo Head-to-Head teams
One was a practice draft with a bunch of scrubs to get a feel for where players were falling
The other is a league with a bunch of guys I've played with the past few years
1 Yahoo Roto League - $30
A bunch of good managers in this one, but it's mostly for fun

1 transaction fee CDM points game - roughly $350 for the full season
6 free transaction CDM points games - $180 ($30 a piece)
1 other CDM game with a slightly different format - $20
Plus I have another $30+$50+70 in side bets going amongst my CDM teams.

Add on an additional $60 for being a CDM Club member, $40 for Insider Baseball subscription, $40 for Pecota website access, $15 for Baseball Forecaster, and $15 for Baseball Prospectus.

That puts my grand total at $900.

Compulsive.

I'll post my rosters once deadlines roll around on Sunday.

Sunday, March 25, 2007

7 Card Stud Practice Session

I went back to Foxwoods today to apply some of the strategies I've been reading in my Stud books. One thing I realized today was that I have to stop playing $1-$5 and move up to $5-$10, probably sit down with $250. There's just not enough money going around in the lower limit game (average pot size around $60).

I can report three hands:
1. I made a pretty good bluff check-raise with a K, 10, 9 showing with an A, J in my hand. I led out the betting on 6th street, everyone folded, and I took down a nice sized pot with just ace-high.

2. I took a huge hit shorty after. On 4th street, my bet was raised by a guy holding 2,4 with a 5,3 showing. When I made three Kings on 5th street, he hit his straight. I couldn't improve to a fullhouse or quads and my stack took a sizable hit. Looking back on it, I was only a 38%/62% dog after 5th street to win the hand. Check it out here.

3. My biggest pot came when I held AA in the hole with a 5 showing. I raised the pot to $3, which is a typical raise for me. There was one call, and a guy who was playing very aggressive, mostly with garbage made it $8. Everyone folded to the guy to my right who had a 7 showing. He raised to $13. I was certain I had everyone beat, except I feared trip 7's. I made the call and four us took a 4th card with roughly $60 already in the pot. We each put in $10 on 4th street and no one improved substantially. After 5th street, I felt more comfortable when someone drew a 7, making it less likely the guy who raised to $13 had trips. We each put in $10 a piece and it was down to three players. When all the cards were out, the guy to my left started with KK in the hole and had two pair. The guy to my right started with QQ in the hole and had two pair. I squeeze a peak at my last card and caught another Ace. My trips took down the $175 pot, which is absolutely enormous for the stakes we were playing. Looking back, the guy with the Queens played his hand terribly and could have easily saved himself $50.

I was up over $100 after just an hour, but was card dead for the rest of the evening. In 3.5 hours total I left, up $70. I'm gonna try out the $5-$10 game the next time I go back.

One more thing, there was an interest list of 20 players for $5-$10 HORSE (Holdem, Omaha hi, Razz, Stud, Stud hi-lo). I would love if they got one of those games going. There's no doubt I'd be the best player at the table. Hardly anyone knows how to play razz or stud hi-lo correctly, and I'm pretty sharp at the other games. Usually the only reason why they don't have a HORSE game running is that it causes problems with the dealers. They have enough trouble keeping one game running smoothly, let alone five.

Saturday, March 24, 2007

7 Card Stud

I'm re-reading 7 Card Stud for Advanced Players by David Sklansky right now. I'm shocked by how much strategy I've actually forgotten. I was playing a lot of Stud, Stud hi-lo, and Razz a year ago online, but gave up on te because it's almost impossible to play more than two tables at a time and remember everyone's folded cards. Now that I'm playing more Stud at Foxwoods, it's time to brush the dust off my library.

Here's a list of poker/gambling books that I own and highly recommend:
  • High-Low-Split Poker
  • How to Win at Omaha High-Low Poker
  • Super System II
  • Secrets of Professional Pot-Limit Omaha
  • Getting the Best of It
  • Holdem Poker for Advanced Players
  • Seven Card Stud for Advanced Players
  • Small Stakes Holdem: Winning Big with Expert Play
  • The Theory of Poker
  • Sharp Sports Betting
Even if you are the best of players, there's always something new to learn from these books. I have a few new moves I want to work into my Stud game, mostly what to do with pocket pairs on third street.

Tuesday, March 20, 2007

Results, Past and Present

I have three midterms this week and a team paper due tomorrow, so this is the best way to push off studying just a bit longer.

I've put in 31 hours at the $4/$8 Omaha game so far and have netted $950.

Last month I sat down at the $8/$16 game for a few hours because Foxwoods was packed and the waiting lists for all the other games were huge. The play was apparantly more logical; a lot of pre-flop raising, 3-bets, and pots being won without a showdown. Regardless, there were just as many donkies at the table and I can definitly make a nice profit there. I only put in 4 hours because I had to head home and finished down $250. At my lowest point I was down $400, but it didn't phase me much because we were generally putting $16 in a piece pre-flop and the variance can be pretty high. Losing only 16 big bets is nothing for those stakes and I look foward to playing this limit more often when there is a game going.

I play the $1-$5 stud game when I'm on the waiting list for Omaha and have recorded 6 hours with a loss of $10. I'm most dissapointed by my results at this game. I'm a pretty good stud player, but have considerably much less experience at it. The play at these tables (usually about six of them running at any given time) is absolutely terrible. At least four people stay until seventh street and there is no such thing as $1 bets. It's either call $5 or fold. There are frequent bluff attempts which are completely transparant. For these reasons I've been playing pretty tight, but there's no reason why I can't pick better situations to throw in $30 and stay to the end. I'm going to re-read some of my stud books so I can pick up some extra cash and then jump into the $5-$10 which I can get away with sitting down with just $200. I'm also anticipating an O8/S8 mixed game (Omaha hi-lo, Stud hi-lo) in Atlantic City that I'd like to play.

That puts my Foxwoods grand total at $700 after 41 hours, and I'll take it.

Over the past year I've been to Turning Stone a few times and made a few bucks at their $3/$6 Omaha game, $1-$5 Stud, and $2-4 Holdem. They recently upped the Omaha game to $4/$8, but I didn't play much, nor do I remember how I did. The play there is even worse with nearly everyone being triple my age. Any profit I took off the table I gambooled away at video poker (too tempting to resist).

Two years ago I was playing a ton online. Limit Holdem, No-limit Holdem, Omaha8, PL O8, Stud, Stud8, Triple Draw, HORSE, Royal Holdem, 5 card draw, video poker, and blackjack. I can't post the results here, but I had a lot of fun with the extra money.

More posts to come in the future on my video poker success.